Mon. Jul 28th, 2025

Italy’s Challenging Road to 2026 World Cup Qualification

Italy`s journey towards the 2026 World Cup has begun with a significant setback. The Azzurri suffered a 3-0 defeat against Norway in their opening qualifier, severely impacting their chances of direct qualification.

Norway, led by the prolific Erling Haaland, now sits atop Group I with 9 points from three matches and an impressive goal difference of +10. This puts Italy in a precarious position, as only the group winner automatically qualifies for the World Cup.

Qualification Criteria and Italy`s Current Standing

In the event of teams finishing level on points, goal difference becomes the deciding factor. Italy`s 3-0 loss has not only left them pointless but also with a -3 goal difference, creating a substantial gap to overcome.

The current Group I standings are:

  • Norway: 9 points, GD +10
  • Israel: 6 points, GD +1
  • Estonia: 3 points, GD -2
  • Italy: 0 points, GD -3
  • Moldova: 0 points, GD -6

Italy`s Path Forward

To secure direct qualification, Italy must:

  1. Win their remaining matches, including a crucial game against Norway on November 16
  2. Significantly improve their goal difference
  3. Hope for Norway to drop points in other matches

Failing to top the group would force Italy into a playoff situation, a scenario that has proved problematic for them in recent World Cup cycles.

Conclusion

While the road ahead is challenging, Italy`s qualification campaign is far from over. The team and coach Luciano Spalletti must regroup quickly and focus on winning their upcoming matches convincingly to keep their World Cup dreams alive.

By Vihaan Mehrotra

In the heart of Bangalore lives and works Vihaan Mehrotra, one of modern India's most insightful sports analysts. His childhood passion for cricket and field hockey evolved into a successful career. His daily column in Bangalore's digital media covers all significant world sporting events, from cricket matches to badminton tournaments. As a sports betting expert, he developed his own methodology for analyzing team statistics. His IPL match predictions are renowned for their 75% accuracy rate.

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