Tue. Jul 29th, 2025

Tactical Change for Aston Villa: Asensio Could Replace Bailey

Aston Villa is preparing for their second leg match against Club Brugge after winning the first leg 3-1 away.

In the first game, Unai Emery’s Aston Villa had less possession (44%) and fewer shots (7 to 11) than Brugge. However, they created a higher expected goals (xG) value, with 1.27 xG compared to Brugge’s 1.05 xG.

Morgan-Rogers-Aston-Villa-Tielemans

Aston Villa finished eighth in their UEFA Champions League group stage, while Club Brugge were 24th, barely advancing past Dinamo Zagreb with 11 points, the same as Sporting and Manchester City.

With a two-goal advantage, Emery’s team selection for the second leg could be influenced by the lead and potential injury concerns.

Aston Villa Team News for Brugge Match

Emery received positive news as Amadou Onana is nearing his return after being sidelined since early February due to a hamstring injury.

Emiliano Martínez and Marco Asensio are also available for the second leg against Club Brugge.

However, Ross Barkley remains injured, and Andres Garcia and Donyell Malen are not eligible for European games due to squad registration issues.

Lamare Bogarde Amadou Onana Aston Villa

With several key players returning, Emery has options, including deploying a dynamic wing partnership to enhance both attack and ball control.

Emery’s Attacking Strategy Against Brugge

Emery typically uses a 4-2-3-1 formation, which can transform into a 3-2-5 in possession, a tactic used by many top teams.

This system often involves one full-back pushing high, allowing a winger to move centrally, becoming a second attacking midfielder alongside Morgan Rogers.

morgan-rogers-aston-villa

Aston Villa can achieve this structure in different ways. One way is with Lucas Digne providing width on the left and Jacob Ramsey cutting inside from the left wing.

Alternatively, with January signing Marco Asensio, they can flip this approach, using Matty Cash for width on the right and Asensio drifting infield from the right wing.

Asensio vs Rashford in 2024/25
Stats (per 90 mins) Asensio Rashford
Goals 0.58 0.34
Assists 0.33 0.29
xG 0.74 0.18
xAG 0.27 0.26
Progressive Carries 2.91 2.97
Progressive Passes 5.18 2.56
Shots Total 3.47 2.46
Key Passes 1.91 1.45
Shot-Creating Actions 4.45 3.31
Successful Take-Ons 0.73 1.74

The stats highlight Asensio’s strengths in passing and creativity, such as key passes and progressive passes, while Rashford is more effective in direct actions like take-ons.

Marco Asensio & Marcus Rashford for Aston Villa

Teammate Cash described Asensio as a “mentality monster” after his impactful substitute appearance against Club Brugge.

In that match, Asensio played for 26 minutes, scored a penalty, had two shots on target, and completed all his passes (8/8).

Emery might choose to start Asensio over Leon Bailey for this second leg to ensure more ball security and possession, aiming to control the game with their two-goal lead.

By Aditya Kapur

Aditya Kapur, a seasoned sports journalist from Mumbai, has dedicated over 15 years to covering Indian sports. His profound understanding of cricket and kabaddi has made him one of the country's most respected analysts. Working for Mumbai's largest sports publications, he developed a unique system for analyzing cricket betting odds. Aditya regularly travels between Mumbai and Delhi, covering major Indian Premier League tournaments. His sports analytics Telegram channel has gathered over 50,000 subscribers. He is particularly valued for his insider knowledge of cricket teams' behind-the-scenes life and accurate predictions for international matches.

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