Every week earlier than the Danish common elections on November 1, the race appears as tight as ever, with polls displaying the centre-left bloc neck and neck with the centre-right opposition.
A record-high variety of voters have modified positions through the previous weeks, and the brand new Moderates occasion is rising quickly after campaigning to type a authorities throughout the standard left-right divide in Danish politics.
Whatever the final result, nonetheless, it appears sure that Denmark is ready to proceed its controversial path as one in every of Europe’s most restrictive international locations in the case of immigration and asylum.
The Scandinavian nation’s centre-right events all agree that its restrictive migration insurance policies are the baseline for Danish nationwide politics.
In the meantime, the governing Social Democratic occasion has adopted the precise’s anti-immigration agenda to the extent that its asylum insurance policies have impressed European far-right events comparable to Different for Germany (AfD) in Germany and the Sweden Democrats in Sweden.
The remaining smaller events of the centre-left, such because the Social Liberal Get together and leftist Crimson-Inexperienced Alliance, formally oppose Denmark’s controversial insurance policies on immigration, together with the revoking the residency permits of Syrian refugees and the push to relocate asylum seekers from Denmark to centres in Rwanda.
If the centre-left coalition ought to acquire a majority with the Social Democrats because the governing occasion, the probabilities of them backtracking on anti-immigration insurance policies are slim to none, in response to political analyst and commentator Lars Trier Mogensen.
“Throughout this authorities, the centre-left events have just about given up on calls for for extra accommodative immigration legal guidelines, they usually will be unable to push that agenda after an election both,” he instructed Al Jazeera.
The Social Democrats largely gained the earlier election in 2019 by attracting voters from the far proper, and the occasion’s logic now could be that any stress-free of immigration legal guidelines can price them the federal government, Mogensen mentioned.
“The centre-left events have largely accepted this and are as an alternative attempting to affect the Social Democrats on different coverage areas comparable to local weather objectives or the tutorial system”, he added.
‘Below the bus’
Within the Northern Danish port metropolis of Aalborg, Mahmoud Suhil Almohamad, a 21-year-old Syrian refugee, has been following the election’s televised debates with rising concern.
“It’s clear that almost all politicians simply need extra votes and extra energy, they usually don’t thoughts throwing refugees and foreigners underneath the bus to get them,” he instructed Al Jazeera.
The younger medical pupil is disheartened by Denmark’s hostile attitudes in the direction of some refugee teams.
This turned notably obvious in spring when Denmark welcomed Ukrainian refugees fleeing Russian aggression.
Danish authorities suspended restrictive asylum guidelines for Ukrainian refugees, permitting them to work, research and entry social advantages nearly instantly upon arrival – additionally exempting them from Denmark’s controversial so-called “jewelry regulation”, which permits authorities to confiscate sure valuables from asylum seekers to fund their keep.
Almohamad is fast to emphasize that he was glad to see Ukrainians being handled effectively however he needs it was the case for all newcomers.
“Some Syrians lived in tents for years, and I used to be not allowed to go to a Danish college. All refugees needs to be handled like Ukrainian refugees. Their welcoming confirmed that it truly is feasible to deal with folks fleeing battle correctly,” he mentioned.
Almohamad has obtained asylum in Denmark as a result of he risked conscription within the Syrian army.
However, the Danish authorities refused to resume his aged mother and father’ residency in 2020, deeming the safety state of affairs in Damascus “considerably improved”.
They had been lastly granted asylum earlier this 12 months following a media outcry and help from refugee organisations.
Nonetheless, Denmark’s determination to revoke Syrians’ residency permits nonetheless impacts lots of of refugees who’re being held indefinitely in deportation centres throughout the nation.
“Denmark was the primary nation to signal the UN Refugee Conference, however they now not respect it. It says refugees have to be handled equally, regardless of their ethnicity, faith or which nation they flee from, however we’re seeing the other at the moment. We’re being divided into first- and second-class refugees,” Almohamad mentioned.
Exaggerated perceptions
For the previous 10 years, Denmark has obtained fewer asylum seekers than surrounding European international locations. In 2021, Denmark ranked twentieth of the 27 EU international locations in receiving asylum seekers relative to inhabitants measurement.
In the meantime, Sweden and Germany have obtained three to seven instances as many asylum seekers per capita over the previous 5 years, official figures present.
Nonetheless, a latest research revealed that almost all of Danish voters throughout the political spectrum have extremely exaggerated perceptions of immigration – many believing immigrants make up double the quantity within the inhabitants, and that crime amongst younger immigrants is six instances extra prevalent than it truly is.
That is fairly symptomatic of the political local weather in Denmark, mentioned Aydin Soei, an writer and sociologist specialising in marginalised minority youth, citizenship, and social mobility in Denmark.
Soei recalled how Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, simply earlier than calling the election, emphasised that many Danes really feel unsafe and that there are components of Copenhagen “the place she would by no means dare go” – regardless of most research displaying that the Danish inhabitants really feel more and more protected and crime charges are lowering.
“It’s deeply irritating that it has turn out to be politically mainstream to color these bleak photographs with a purpose to place oneself as a protector towards ‘harmful minorities’. Fairly the other, youth crime is traditionally low and crime amongst ethnic minorities is declining”, Soei instructed Al Jazeera.
‘Ghetto legal guidelines’
The sociologist pointed to Denmark’s controversial “ghetto plan” as one other instance – insurance policies launched by the earlier right-wing governments however which at the moment are being enforced by the Social Democrats who speak of “parallel societies” somewhat than “ghettos”.
The so-called “ghetto legal guidelines” purpose to mass evict and reconstruct social housing in sure low-income immigrant neighbourhoods by standards on employment, crime statistics, training ranges, gross revenue, and controversially, the share of “non-Western” residents.
Whereas lots of the focused areas have seen vital constructive socioeconomic developments, altering Danish governments have saved tightening the standards because of this depicting the so-called “ghettos” as a rising societal concern.
“It’s a paradox. Issues are going effectively in Denmark – extra ethnic minorities are finishing an training, and crime is traditionally low, however the politicians usually are not celebrating this growth – they simply need to pursue even more durable immigration insurance policies,” Soei mentioned.
“Sadly, we’re witnessing a racialization of all facets of laws in Denmark. Authorized politics, housing politics and even social politics have turn out to be synonymous with immigration politics. That is fairly alarming,” Soei added.
‘Sufficient of them already’
With the consensus on immigration insurance policies among the many key political events, anti-immigration sentiments haven’t been as central to this election marketing campaign as in different latest Danish elections.
Nonetheless, extra far-right events will seem on the poll this 12 months with newly-formed the Denmark Democrats, an anti-immigrant occasion led by Inger Støjberg, a former immigration minister who was impeached for unlawfully separating asylum-seeking {couples}. And with the right-wing events competing for comparable voters, they’ve made themselves heard.
Proper-wing populist Danish Individuals’s occasion not too long ago launched an promoting marketing campaign underneath the slogan: “We’ve got sufficient of them already,” sharing the names of chosen new Danish residents, primarily with “non-Western” sounding names.
The occasion additionally raised the concept of residents having the ability to refuse dwelling care from hijab-wearing ladies, whereas a candidate for the anti-immigration occasion New Proper went even additional and added homosexuals and Jewish folks to the listing.
The cruel political local weather that has been particularly rampant over the previous 20 years has had dire penalties, in response to affiliate professor of instructional psychology Iram Khawaja.
In her work, she sees a relation between recurring experiences with discrimination and the dehumanisation of ethnic minorities and precise psychological, social and bodily penalties.
“This ‘minority stress’ can, sadly, manifest into anxiousness, despair, and even bodily medical situations. It’s a endless story,” Khawaja mentioned.
Together with about 300 different psychologists, Khawaja is a member of the Skilled Psychology Community In opposition to Discrimination, an organisation she co-founded after the nation’s final nationwide election, the place Muslim minorities had been particularly focused in political campaigns.
“I’ve interviewed many kids and younger adults, and 10 years in the past many trusted that if they simply completed their training and located work, they might be accepted by society, however now I sense better hopelessness, which I feel is due to the dangerous political rhetoric this final decade,” Khawaja mentioned.
A sense Almohamad recognises.
“Typically all you want is a little bit of recognition, however we’re made to really feel much less worthy. I want politicians would present extra appreciation for refugees and our contributions to society, however while you hearken to them on TV today, you query whether or not it’s even price attempting”, he mentioned.